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ENDRA Life Sciences Inc. (NDRA)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 execution was focused on regulatory and clinical milestones with accelerated pilot enrollment (~40 subjects over the past two months), activation of LMU University Hospital in Germany, and development of AI/ML/DL data-analysis features for TAEUS; operating expenses fell 52% YoY to $1.5M and 32% QoQ, reflecting restructuring and non-recurring items .
  • Net loss was $2.4M vs. $3.1M YoY and $2.2M QoQ; Q3 included a net non-cash warrant-related charge of $0.911M; cash and equivalents were $4.7M at quarter-end .
  • Management reiterated focus on preparing a De Novo submission; prior commentary targeted mid-2025 for filing following pilot and pivotal studies; Q3 emphasized clinical data collection and cost discipline to extend runway .
  • Potential stock-reaction catalysts: clinical data disclosures (e.g., AASLD poster on high-BMI patients), progress toward pivotal study design, and listing stability following Nasdaq compliance regained on Nov 21, 2024 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Accelerated subject recruitment with nearly 40 subjects enrolled/scanned over the past two months; additional sites may activate; real-world evidence to inform pivotal study and De Novo submission .
  • Operating expenses down 52% YoY to $1.5M and down 32% QoQ, driven primarily by G&A reductions and non-recurring items; realized $3.1M in annualized savings from restructuring .
  • Management highlighted a refined go-to-market strategy and new AI/ML/DL features to improve data accuracy and operator ease-of-use on TAEUS; quote: “We are laser focused on securing the clinical data necessary to support a new De Novo regulatory filing…while significantly reducing operating expenses to extend our cash runway” — Alexander Tokman, Acting CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Continued pre-revenue profile and ongoing net losses; Q3 net loss was $2.4M, including a $0.911M non-cash warrant-related charge from the last financing .
  • Sequential cash decline to $4.7M from $6.4M (Q2), reflecting operations and restructuring, despite prior capital raise; runway management remains critical .
  • No Q3 earnings call transcript; management intends to hold periodic update calls tied to major events, limiting immediate investor Q&A in the quarter .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD)— (pre-revenue) — (pre-revenue; no revenue line presented) — (pre-revenue; no revenue line presented)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$2,780,541 $2,230,853 $1,509,014
Operating Loss ($USD)$(2,780,541) $(2,230,853) $(1,509,014)
Net Loss ($USD)$(2,775,700) $(2,229,153) $(2,354,090)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.26) $(0.08) $(9.54)
Cash and Equivalents ($USD)$1,134,701 $6,400,732 $4,745,187

Notes:

  • Management reported OpEx declines vs. prior year (52%) and prior quarter (32%) .
  • Q3 included warrant-related non-cash items (net charge $0.911M) affecting net loss .
  • Share count/ EPS comparability reflects reverse split dynamics, evidenced by outsized EPS in Q3 vs. prior quarters .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
FDA De Novo submission (TAEUS liver device)Regulatory timelineTarget mid-2025 submission following pilot and pivotal studies Continued focus on pilot data and pivotal design; no new date disclosed Maintained (timing not reiterated)
Operating ExpensesFY 2024Annualized cost reductions of ~$3.1M via restructuring Realized $3.1M savings; Q3 OpEx down 52% YoY to $1.5M Executed/maintained
Cash RunwayFY 2024–H1 2025Runway funds company into H1 2025 (as of Q2) No explicit update in Q3; cost reductions to extend runway Maintained (implicitly)
Investor CommunicationsOngoingQuarterly calls (Q2 call held) Shift to periodic business update calls tied to major events Modified cadence

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024 and Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Regulatory/De NovoQ1: FDA pre-submission meeting planned; alignment sought on clinical design . Q2: FDA alignment; pivot to prospective, statistically powered multi-center trials; target mid-2025 filing .Accelerated pilot enrollment; LMU Germany activation; pilot data to inform pivotal study supporting De Novo request .Advancing toward pivotal; increased clinical execution
AI/Technology initiativesLimited mention in prior quarters; focus on product optimization .New AI/ML/DL data-analysis features to improve accuracy and ease-of-use .New initiative; tech-enabled workflow enhancements
Go-to-market strategyQ2: Reassessing beachhead (primary care vs. hepatology); broader metabolic biomarker vision .Continued progress on go-to-market prioritization; longer-term strategy setting .Evolving focus; prioritization under new team
Financing/Cash runwayQ1: Cash $1.1M; pre-revenue . Q2: Raised ~$7.3M net; runway into H1 2025 .Cash $4.7M; operating expense reductions to extend runway .Improved liquidity mid-year; ongoing discipline
Listing statusQ2: Reverse split; warrant exercises pressured stock; listing risks addressed .Regained Nasdaq minimum bid compliance on Nov 21, 2024 .Listing risk reduced

Management Commentary

  • “We are laser focused on securing the clinical data necessary to support a new De Novo regulatory filing with the FDA… while significantly reducing operating expenses to extend our cash runway.” — Alexander Tokman, Acting CEO .
  • “During the past two months, nearly 40 subjects were enrolled and scanned… findings from these pilot studies will be used to inform a pivotal study… [for] De Novo request to the FDA.” .
  • “We will fundamentally change our FDA regulatory strategy… switching from retrospective data to a hypothesis-driven, statistically-powered prospective clinical trial, pre-vetted through FDA.” — Ziad Rouag, Head of Regulatory and Clinical Affairs (Q2 call) .
  • “Based on our current projections, our cash runway funds the company into the first half of 2025.” — Richard Jacroux, CFO (Q2 call) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Timeline to FDA submission: Management reiterated plan to complete pilot study, initiate pivotal early next year, and target De Novo submission by mid-2025 .
  • Strategic path implementation: Over 9–12 months, execute clinical program, finalize regulatory submission, and develop longer-term metabolic biomarker strategy; licensing optionality noted .
  • Beachhead market focus: Hepatology may not be the primary entry point; emphasis on primary care and broader segments in go-to-market recalibration .
  • Note: No Q3 earnings call; management plans periodic business update calls aligned with major events .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global for NDRA’s Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to limited coverage; no sell-side estimates found to compare against reported results [GetEstimates errors; see tool response].
  • Implication: Estimate-driven “beat/miss” framing is not applicable; investor focus should remain on operating expense trajectory, cash runway, regulatory milestones, and clinical data cadence .

KPIs and Operating Execution

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Global issued patents80 81 82
Pilot subjects (data acquired/enrolled)~25 subjects acquired (pilot) ~40 enrolled/scanned in past two months
New/activated clinical sitesKing’s College Hospital UK (install for evaluation) Two NA pilot sites; one EU expected LMU University Hospital Germany activated
AI/ML/DL featuresIntroduced AI/ML/DL data-analysis features
Cash & equivalents ($)$1.1M $6.4M $4.7M

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cost discipline is taking hold: OpEx down 52% YoY and 32% QoQ; restructuring delivered ~$3.1M annualized savings; this is the primary lever extending runway into 2025 .
  • Regulatory path is clearer: Pilot data gathering accelerated; multi-center pivotal study to underpin De Novo submission remains the core 2025 catalyst .
  • Technology differentiation: AI/ML/DL features aim to improve measurement accuracy and operator usability — important for adoption in primary care settings .
  • Clinical evidence broadening: High-BMI patient data at AASLD highlights TAEUS performance in challenging cases, supporting clinical utility claims .
  • Liquidity and listing risk mitigated: Post-offering cash raised (Q2) and regained Nasdaq minimum bid compliance (Nov 21) reduce downside operational/listing risks near-term .
  • Execution watchpoints: Monitor subject enrollment pace, pivotal study initiation timing, and any FDA feedback; delays could pressure the runway and thesis .
  • Trading implications: Near-term moves likely tied to clinical/regulatory disclosures and communications cadence; absence of revenue/coverage reduces estimate-driven volatility, shifting focus to milestone timing and listing stability .

Cross-References and Disclosures

  • Q3 press release with financial tables: operating expenses, net loss, warrant charges, cash balance .
  • Q3 8-K Item 2.02 (press release furnished): narrative and highlights .
  • Other Q3 press release: AASLD high-BMI poster acceptance and details .
  • Prior quarters: Q2 press release and 8-K including transcript and financial tables; cash raise and runway commentary .
  • Q1 press release and 8-K: pre-sub FDA process, King’s College installation, and financial tables .
  • Nasdaq compliance press release (Nov 22, 2024) .

Bolded beats/misses are not included due to lack of sell-side consensus coverage via S&P Global for EPS and revenue in Q3 2024; estimates unavailable.